I looked closely at the data regarding EU and figured out that during February they issued 2333 visa, March 2144 and for April until 16/04 1187 visas so let us say they have set a pace of 2200 visa per each month.
If they continue this trend for May and June that will get them at approximately 16300 issued visas by the end of June.
If they are committed to respect 18300 quota the cuff off number could be less than EU 23000 and they can comfortably achieve that by the end of July with 2 months to spare. This is what I fear the most.
My only hope is that they extend the quota beyond 18300 visas taking into consideration that Africa is behind in reaching its own quota.
Regards